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Fogmeister
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2009 7:35 pm Posts: 6580 Location: Getting there
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The key is that although the numbers and colours are inherently linked (i.e. each ball has a number and a colour) the event of picking out a number is completely separate from the event of picking out a colour.
If you were talking about colours then yes you would be correct in going for one of each.
But the BBC are talking about numbers. Colours don't really have a say. Imagine they were all white ping pong balls, does this change the probability of a 10 or a 37 being picked?
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:19 pm |
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F_A_F
Occasionally has a life
Joined: Fri Apr 24, 2009 12:52 pm Posts: 266 Location: Truro
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All this talk of probability is a fine link to: LOLCATZ!
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:20 pm |
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Fogmeister
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2009 7:35 pm Posts: 6580 Location: Getting there
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:22 pm |
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Linux_User
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Tue May 05, 2009 3:29 pm Posts: 7173
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So the way I'm seeing this now is this:
Yes, it makes the other colours more likely to be picked however, this is inconsequential as if you took the colours away it still leaves you with 48 numbered balls, and it's the numbers that matter.
So if I take mars-bar-man's example, if 45 balls were green and 4 were blue, then yes it's more likely the ball that will come out will be green, but in reality this doesn't matter as you're trying to match the number, not the colour, and if you go by numbers then each number has an equal chance of being picked?
So you should actually treat the numbers and the colours as separate entities?
Last edited by Linux_User on Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:23 pm |
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Fogmeister
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2009 7:35 pm Posts: 6580 Location: Getting there
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(Hmm... the quote button doesn't get your first paragraph?) Yes... see my last post  Pesky hobbitses... changing their postses.
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:24 pm |
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Linux_User
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Tue May 05, 2009 3:29 pm Posts: 7173
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I think I finally have this sorted in my head. Thank you all! 
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:25 pm |
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Fogmeister
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2009 7:35 pm Posts: 6580 Location: Getting there
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Yay  You were getting me confused half way through and I was beginning to doubt myself 
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:26 pm |
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Linux_User
I haven't seen my friends in so long
Joined: Tue May 05, 2009 3:29 pm Posts: 7173
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And now you know why I didn't take maths any further after I got a "B" at GCSE. 
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:28 pm |
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Nick
Spends far too much time on here
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2009 11:36 pm Posts: 3527 Location: Portsmouth
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Hate to burst your bubble, there's 49 balls in the lotto  We've removed one, hence the 1/48[/quote] Ah okay.  I don't play. 
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Fri Sep 11, 2009 11:58 pm |
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