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Random $h!t Thread - Part V 
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leeds_manc wrote:
There were thousands of footballers who played on planet Earth yesterday, who don't wear the 12 shirt for instance, it is only really amazing if you predicted it beforehand. Looking back and picking a coincidence out is almost guaranteed to work.

Actually, there were in fact a relatively small number in the professional leagues. Tuesdays and Wednesdays are generally reserved for cup competitions, few of which are currently running. There was only one professional football match last night in the UK and a handful in the other major leagues. Maybe 20 games tops. Spread over the whole of a continent. So it is quite an unlikely coincidence in those terms.

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Thu Dec 13, 2012 12:05 pm
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Nah, it's a general rule that applies to all situations, it's just probability, if it had happened in any other team game that would have been the focus, if it was predicted to happen on that day, in football, in that match, then that reduces the odds somewhat, reduces the pool of numbers drastically, then it starts to become a significantly unlikely result, but there was no suggestion of limiting the criteria before the event, it was just spotted in any sport, any country any team. The only limiting factor really was that it had to be about 12 and it had to be on that one day, everything else was up for grabs.

And it was the 57th minute, not the 12th minute, so it even had to be bent into place once it was spotted.

If something to do with 12 HADN'T have happened on Earth yesterday, that would have been more unlikely, just because there's so much [LIFTED] going on.


Thu Dec 13, 2012 4:44 pm
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leeds_manc wrote:
Nah, it's a general rule that applies to all situations, it's just probability, if it had happened in any other team game that would have been the focus,

Yeah, I'm aware of the fact that the coincidence made it news which I suppose you could describe as a form of confirmation bias but nevertheless your logic isn't entirely valid. The fact that loads of different things happen every day doesn't affect the probably of one given event happening or not.

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Thu Dec 13, 2012 5:14 pm
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Which event? Any confluence of things with 12 in it, doesn't matter where that occurs, it's just pattern recognition in a planet full of chaotic stuff. It was wholly unremarkable that someone had a 12 on his back, on a wednesday and scored in the 57th minute, mundane even.

I'm saying in a sky there is a very high chance of a cloud looking uncannily like a rabbit on Easter day at some point.

Somewhere, there's a good chance, given all the clouds in the world, all the people looking from different angles, and the 48 hour window of "Easter Day" every year.

Now for that one person who saw it, that's quite remarkable. Jesus appears on toast somewhere - boring. Jesus appears on YOUR toast, now you start looking for 'reasons'!

For anyone else, who wasn't there. to remark that it's 'remarkably improbable' to have happened doesn't understand probability.

To take it further and apply it to miracle cures and such like: If you take a miracle to be something that is "very very rare" It would be a miracle if miracles didn't occur regularly on Earth, given all the 'stuff' that happens to everyone all the time.


Thu Dec 13, 2012 7:41 pm
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Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:09 pm
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Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:28 pm
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ProfessorF wrote:
Game sorta music thing: http://january.cc



I kept wanting it to turn into this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cg0cmhjdiLs


Thu Dec 13, 2012 10:17 pm
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Do bats fly over water?

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Fri Dec 14, 2012 10:17 pm
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timark_uk wrote:
Do bats fly over water?

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I think this answers your question.

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Fri Dec 14, 2012 10:51 pm
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Fri Dec 14, 2012 11:15 pm
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timark_uk wrote:
Do bats fly over water?

Mark


Over a lake? Yes, and they will drink from the water while flying. But if you mean over the sea then I dunno.


Fri Dec 14, 2012 11:59 pm
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Horace wrote:
sapias, vina liques et spatio brevi

"be wise, strain the wine, and scale back your long hopes"

Strain? I've seen it translated elsewhere as "sink". All very culinary, but the latter seems preferable. My first thought is that cheap, young wine didn't used to be clear and perhaps needed straining? Compare Bordeaux and Claret. The deeper meaning being that you may as well drink the cloudy wine, because you may die before it's cleared. If you've ever brewed your own wine, you may relate to this.

Translation from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carpe_diem#Source

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Sat Dec 15, 2012 10:05 am
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leeds_manc wrote:
timark_uk wrote:
Do bats fly over water?
Over a lake? Yes, and they will drink from the water while flying. But if you mean over the sea then I dunno.
Over a river.

Mark

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okenobi wrote:
All I know so far is that Mark, Jimmy Olsen and Peter Parker use Nikon and everybody else seems to use Canon.
ShockWaffle wrote:
Well you obviously. You're a one man vortex of despair.


Sat Dec 15, 2012 2:11 pm
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paulzolo wrote:
timark_uk wrote:
Do bats fly over water?
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I think this answers your question.
This post is all sorts of WIN, Paul.

Mark

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okenobi wrote:
All I know so far is that Mark, Jimmy Olsen and Peter Parker use Nikon and everybody else seems to use Canon.
ShockWaffle wrote:
Well you obviously. You're a one man vortex of despair.


Sat Dec 15, 2012 2:12 pm
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